Updated 11/02/2012 04:19 PM
Siena Poll Shows O'Brien Ahead of Hanna in 55th Senate District Race
Less than a week before Election Day, a new Siena poll shows a dramatic turnaround in the 55th State Senate District Race. Democratic candidate Ted O'Brien has moved to a double-digit lead over Republican Sean Hanna.
In the previous Siena poll that came out October 3rd, Hanna held an eight point lead. The latest numbers favor O'Brien by eleven points and represent a 19-point swing. The poll has a margin of error of 4.5 percent.
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O'Brien was feeling pretty good Friday morning as he met with supporters unloading campaign material to be distributed over the weekend.
After trailing for much of this race, the minority leader in the Monroe County Legislature says the new poll numbers are humbling.
"I think the poll's indicative of what we've been sensing going on in the field, and it's a humbling experience but I think people are beginning to catch on to my message, which from the beginning of this race are how crushing property taxes are for our efforts to grow as a community," said O'Brien, (D).
Property taxes was one of the issues the two candidates discussed during a local radio debate Friday, along with the Siena poll. Hanna, currently a State Assemblyman, doesn't believe it represents a drastic turnaround, looking at the numbers he's been tracking locally.
"We're looking at a very tight race. We're looking at a race where we're in a very, very good position to win. We need to get our voters out on Tuesday and that's really what most of these elections come down to is turnout. Does your base come out? Do your supporters come out? That happens on Tuesday, we win this race all day long," said Hanna, (R).
Even though he's pleased with the polling numbers, O'Brien says it's important not to get complacent.
"You just have to work hard because nobody's voted yet, except for some absentees, I guess. We've got to make sure people get to the polls. I'm encouraged but I'm going to work really, really hard. I don't want this to slip away, we're going to work hard to get our voters out on Election Day," O'Brien said.
Hanna says the latest poll means absolutely nothing. He says polling numbers have been proven wrong in the past and expects they will again.
"This happens just about every year where an out-of-town polling company comes in, does a poll, drops it in our lap right before Election Day and proves to be wildly inaccurate. I'd reference you to last year's District Attorney's race, the same thing happened. Siena says he's up by nine, he lost by 16 just a week or so later."
The race Hanna referenced was between Republican Bill Taylor and Democrat Sandra Doorley. And as we all know, Doorley won that election for Monroe County District Attorney.